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Employment: November Diffusion Indexes

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December 14, 2021
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by Calculated Risk on 12/14/2021 01:16:00 PM

I haven’t posted this in some time. The employment diffusion indexes are useful in gauging how widespread job gains are in a given month.

The BLS diffusion index for total private employment was at 63.0 in November, down from 73.9 in October.

For manufacturing, the diffusion index was at 67.3, up from 66.7 the previous month.

Think of this as a measure of how widespread job gains or losses are across industries. The further from 50 (above or below), the more widespread the job losses or gains reported by the BLS. From the BLS:

Figures are the percent of industries with employment increasing plus one-half of the industries with unchanged employment, where 50 percent indicates an equal balance between industries with increasing and decreasing employment.

Click on graph for larger image.

Both indexes declined sharply in March 2020, and collapsed to new record lows in April 2020 due to the impact from COVID-19. Then the indexes increased as the economy bounced back.

Both indexes were solid in November, indicating job growth was widespread across industries.
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