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Wednesday: GDP, ADP Employment

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March 30, 2022
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by Calculated Risk on 3/29/2022 09:01:00 PM

Wednesday:
o At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.

o At 8:15 AM, The ADP Employment Report for March. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). The consensus is for 438,000 payroll jobs added in March, down from 475,000 added in February.

o At 8:30 AM, Gross Domestic Product, 4th quarter 2021 (Third estimate). The consensus is that real GDP increased 7.1% annualized in Q4.

On COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):

COVID MetricsNowWeek
AgoGoalPercent fully Vaccinated65.5%—>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated (millions)217.5—>=2321New Cases per Day326,19027,282<=5,0002Hospitalized312,93416,599<=3,0002Deaths per Day3700862<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths

? Goal met.

Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of deaths reported.New cases, hospitalizations and deaths are declining.

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